Hornady Match 6.5 Creedmoor Ammo 147 Grain Hornady ELD Match
Session #9 by @blurry_circles Shot 6/7/2026 Public
- Rifle
- Tikka CTR MDT ACC Elite 24" Bull Outlier w/ CAT JL 6.5 Creedmoor
- Caliber
- 6.5 Creedmoor
- Bullet
- 147 gr
- Barrel
- 24″
- Twist
- 1:7
- Muzzle
- Suppressed
- Lot
- —
- Chronograph
- —
- Avg velocity
- —
- SD
- —
- ES
- Not recorded
- Shots
- —
rain
Collective group
- Shot
- Mean radius
- Point of aim
- Group centre
- Probable flier
Mean radius
0.34 MOA
1.031″ at 300 yd
- Group size
- 4.506″
- 1.50 MOA
- ES / MR
- 4.37×
- flier likely (top 5%)
- About 3.55× expected for 17 shots
- Shots
- 17
- Groups
- 3 of 3
Probable flier · Group 3
One shot from Group 3 sits well outside the rest, circled on the plot. It sets the group size; mean radius is far less sensitive to a single shot.
Suggested re-zero
Group centre is 1.08″ (0.36 MOA) from the point of aim.
Elevation, dial UP
0.08 mil
0.27 MOA · 0.81″
Windage, dial RIGHT
0.07 mil
0.24 MOA · 0.72″
This is your zero, separate from precision: group size and mean radius don't change with it.
Within vs between strings
- Within MR
- 1.017″
- 0.34 MOA
- Between drift
- 0.294″
- 0.10 MOA
- Ratio
- 0.29×
- consistent
Consistent — shot dispersion within each string dominates. Group centers land close together.
Hit probability Collective @ 300yd · 17 shots · MR 1.031″
Assumes shooter dispersion is the dominant error source and scales linearly with range. Doesn't model wind, MV SD, or BC uncertainty — those matter more as distance grows, so real-world hit rates at long range will typically be lower than shown.
Swipe the table sideways for larger targets →
| Range | 0.5 MOA | 1 MOA | 2 MOA | 8" | 10" | IPSC A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 yd | 34% | 81% | ≥99% | ≥99% | ≥99% | ≥99% |
| 200 yd | 34% | 81% | ≥99% | ≥99% | ≥99% | ≥99% |
| 300 yd (measured) | 34% | 81% | ≥99% | ≥99% | ≥99% | ≥99% |
| 400 yd | 34% | 81% | ≥99% | ≥99% | ≥99% | 99% |
| 500 yd | 34% | 81% | ≥99% | 99% | ≥99% | 97% |
| 600 yd | 34% | 81% | ≥99% | 95% | 99% | 93% |
| 700 yd | 34% | 81% | ≥99% | 89% | 97% | 88% |
| 800 yd | 34% | 81% | ≥99% | 81% | 93% | 82% |
| 900 yd | 34% | 81% | ≥99% | 73% | 87% | 76% |
| 1000 yd | 34% | 81% | ≥99% | 65% | 81% | 69% |
| 1100 yd | 34% | 81% | ≥99% | 58% | 75% | 63% |
| 1200 yd | 34% | 81% | ≥99% | 52% | 68% | 58% |
Groups
Drawn targets share one scale: each grid square is 1 MOA, centred on that group's point of aim.
Group 1
100 yd· 5 sh- Size MOA
- 1.03
- 1.027″
- MR MOA
- 0.34
- 0.341″
- ES/MR
- 3.01×
- 5 shots
Group 2
100 yd· 5 sh- Size MOA
- 0.90
- 0.898″
- MR MOA
- 0.34
- 0.341″
- ES/MR
- 2.63×
- 5 shots
Group 3
300 yd· 5 shCollective flier- Size MOA
- 1.41
- 4.227″
- MR MOA
- 0.48
- 1.438″
- ES/MR
- 2.94×
- 5 shots
Group 4
300 yd· 6 sh- Size MOA
- 0.85
- 2.546″
- MR MOA
- 0.31
- 0.942″
- ES/MR
- 2.70×
- 6 shots
Group 5
300 yd· 6 sh- Size MOA
- 0.73
- 2.176″
- MR MOA
- 0.25
- 0.740″
- ES/MR
- 2.94×
- 6 shots
Notes
There are three outliers on the 100yd - literally from another gun shooting at another target during zeroing (all of these were all technically part of zeroing) - the one down lower and the two off to the right.
Photos
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