Hornady Match 6.5 Creedmoor Ammo 147 Grain Hornady ELD Match

Ammunition

Brand

Ammo

Ammunition: Hornady Hornady Match 6.5 Creedmoor Ammo 147 Grain Hornady ELD Match
Caliber: 6.5 Creedmoor
Grain Weight: 147gr
Lot Number: -

Firearm

Description: Tikka CTR MDT ACC Elite 24" Bull Outlier w/ CAT JL 6.5 Creedmoor
Barrel: 24" / 1:7
Muzzle Brake: No
Suppressor: Yes

Ballistics Data

Average FPS: -
Extreme Spread: -
Std Dev: -
Total Shots: -

Conditions

rain

Shot Groups

Collective @ 100 yards

POA-aligned across 2 of 2 groups

Group Size: 1.769"; 1.77 MOA
Mean Radius: 0.555"; 0.55 MOA
Shots: 10

ES / MR 3.19× (expected ~3.22× for 10 shots) typical

Within-string MR: 0.341" (0.34 MOA) Between-string drift: 0.488" (0.49 MOA) Between / within: 1.43× mixed

Mixed — within-string dispersion and between-string drift contribute similarly. Both dispersion and drift are worth investigating.

Hit probability matrix — Collective @ 100yd · 10 shots · MR 0.555″

Assumes shooter dispersion is the dominant error source and scales linearly with range. Doesn't model wind, MV SD, or BC uncertainty — those matter more as distance grows, so real-world hit rates at long range will typically be lower than shown.

Range	0.5 MOA	1 MOA	2 MOA	8"	10"	IPSC A
100 yd (measured)	15%	47%	92%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
200 yd	15%	47%	92%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
300 yd	15%	47%	92%	99%	≥99%	98%
400 yd	15%	47%	92%	92%	98%	91%
500 yd	15%	47%	92%	80%	92%	81%
600 yd	15%	47%	92%	68%	83%	71%
700 yd	15%	47%	92%	57%	73%	62%
800 yd	15%	47%	92%	47%	63%	53%
900 yd	15%	47%	92%	40%	54%	46%
1000 yd	15%	47%	92%	34%	47%	39%
1100 yd	15%	47%	92%	29%	41%	34%
1200 yd	15%	47%	92%	25%	36%	30%

Collective @ 300 yards

POA-aligned across 3 of 3 groups

Group Size: 4.506"; 1.50 MOA
Mean Radius: 1.031"; 0.34 MOA
Shots: 17

ES / MR 4.37× (expected ~3.55× for 17 shots) flier likely (top 5%)

Within-string MR: 1.017" (0.34 MOA) Between-string drift: 0.294" (0.10 MOA) Between / within: 0.29× consistent

Consistent — shot dispersion within each string dominates. Group centers land close together.

Hit probability matrix — Collective @ 300yd · 17 shots · MR 1.031″

Assumes shooter dispersion is the dominant error source and scales linearly with range. Doesn't model wind, MV SD, or BC uncertainty — those matter more as distance grows, so real-world hit rates at long range will typically be lower than shown.

Range	0.5 MOA	1 MOA	2 MOA	8"	10"	IPSC A
100 yd	34%	81%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
200 yd	34%	81%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
300 yd (measured)	34%	81%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
400 yd	34%	81%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	99%
500 yd	34%	81%	≥99%	99%	≥99%	97%
600 yd	34%	81%	≥99%	95%	99%	93%
700 yd	34%	81%	≥99%	89%	97%	88%
800 yd	34%	81%	≥99%	81%	93%	82%
900 yd	34%	81%	≥99%	73%	87%	76%
1000 yd	34%	81%	≥99%	65%	81%	69%
1100 yd	34%	81%	≥99%	58%	75%	63%
1200 yd	34%	81%	≥99%	52%	68%	58%

Group 5

300 yards

Group Size: 2.176"; 0.73 MOA
Mean Radius: 0.74"; 0.25 MOA
Shots: 6

ES / MR 2.94× (expected ~2.88× for 6 shots) typical

Hit probability matrix — Group 5 · 300yd · MR 0.740″

Assumes shooter dispersion is the dominant error source and scales linearly with range. Doesn't model wind, MV SD, or BC uncertainty — those matter more as distance grows, so real-world hit rates at long range will typically be lower than shown.

Range	0.5 MOA	1 MOA	2 MOA	8"	10"	IPSC A
100 yd	55%	96%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
200 yd	55%	96%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
300 yd (measured)	55%	96%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
400 yd	55%	96%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
500 yd	55%	96%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
600 yd	55%	96%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	99%
700 yd	55%	96%	≥99%	99%	≥99%	97%
800 yd	55%	96%	≥99%	96%	99%	94%
900 yd	55%	96%	≥99%	92%	98%	91%
1000 yd	55%	96%	≥99%	87%	96%	87%
1100 yd	55%	96%	≥99%	82%	93%	82%
1200 yd	55%	96%	≥99%	76%	89%	78%

Group 1

100 yards

Group Size: 1.027"; 1.03 MOA
Mean Radius: 0.341"; 0.34 MOA
Shots: 5

ES / MR 3.01× (expected ~2.75× for 5 shots) typical

Hit probability matrix — Group 1 · 100yd · MR 0.341″

Assumes shooter dispersion is the dominant error source and scales linearly with range. Doesn't model wind, MV SD, or BC uncertainty — those matter more as distance grows, so real-world hit rates at long range will typically be lower than shown.

Range	0.5 MOA	1 MOA	2 MOA	8"	10"	IPSC A
100 yd (measured)	34%	82%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
200 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
300 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
400 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	99%
500 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	99%	≥99%	97%
600 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	95%	99%	93%
700 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	89%	97%	88%
800 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	82%	93%	82%
900 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	74%	88%	76%
1000 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	66%	82%	70%
1100 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	59%	75%	64%
1200 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	53%	69%	58%

Group 2

100 yards

Group Size: 0.898"; 0.90 MOA
Mean Radius: 0.341"; 0.34 MOA
Shots: 5

ES / MR 2.63× (expected ~2.75× for 5 shots) typical

Hit probability matrix — Group 2 · 100yd · MR 0.341″

Assumes shooter dispersion is the dominant error source and scales linearly with range. Doesn't model wind, MV SD, or BC uncertainty — those matter more as distance grows, so real-world hit rates at long range will typically be lower than shown.

Range	0.5 MOA	1 MOA	2 MOA	8"	10"	IPSC A
100 yd (measured)	34%	82%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
200 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
300 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
400 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	99%
500 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	99%	≥99%	97%
600 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	95%	99%	93%
700 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	89%	97%	88%
800 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	82%	93%	82%
900 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	74%	88%	76%
1000 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	66%	82%	70%
1100 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	59%	75%	64%
1200 yd	34%	82%	≥99%	53%	69%	58%

Group 3

300 yards

Group Size: 4.227"; 1.41 MOA
Mean Radius: 1.438"; 0.48 MOA
Shots: 5

ES / MR 2.94× (expected ~2.75× for 5 shots) typical

Hit probability matrix — Group 3 · 300yd · MR 1.438″

Assumes shooter dispersion is the dominant error source and scales linearly with range. Doesn't model wind, MV SD, or BC uncertainty — those matter more as distance grows, so real-world hit rates at long range will typically be lower than shown.

Range	0.5 MOA	1 MOA	2 MOA	8"	10"	IPSC A
100 yd	19%	57%	97%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
200 yd	19%	57%	97%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
300 yd (measured)	19%	57%	97%	≥99%	≥99%	99%
400 yd	19%	57%	97%	97%	≥99%	95%
500 yd	19%	57%	97%	89%	97%	88%
600 yd	19%	57%	97%	78%	91%	80%
700 yd	19%	57%	97%	67%	83%	71%
800 yd	19%	57%	97%	57%	74%	62%
900 yd	19%	57%	97%	49%	65%	55%
1000 yd	19%	57%	97%	42%	57%	48%
1100 yd	19%	57%	97%	36%	51%	42%
1200 yd	19%	57%	97%	32%	45%	37%

Group 4

300 yards

Group Size: 2.546"; 0.85 MOA
Mean Radius: 0.942"; 0.31 MOA
Shots: 6

ES / MR 2.70× (expected ~2.88× for 6 shots) typical

Hit probability matrix — Group 4 · 300yd · MR 0.942″

Assumes shooter dispersion is the dominant error source and scales linearly with range. Doesn't model wind, MV SD, or BC uncertainty — those matter more as distance grows, so real-world hit rates at long range will typically be lower than shown.

Range	0.5 MOA	1 MOA	2 MOA	8"	10"	IPSC A
100 yd	39%	86%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
200 yd	39%	86%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
300 yd (measured)	39%	86%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
400 yd	39%	86%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
500 yd	39%	86%	≥99%	99%	≥99%	98%
600 yd	39%	86%	≥99%	97%	≥99%	95%
700 yd	39%	86%	≥99%	93%	98%	91%
800 yd	39%	86%	≥99%	86%	96%	86%
900 yd	39%	86%	≥99%	79%	91%	80%
1000 yd	39%	86%	≥99%	72%	86%	75%
1100 yd	39%	86%	≥99%	65%	81%	69%
1200 yd	39%	86%	≥99%	59%	75%	64%

Notes

There are three outliers on the 100yd - literally from another gun shooting at another target during zeroing (all of these were all technically part of zeroing) - the one down lower and the two off to the right.