Hornady Match 6.5 Creedmoor Ammo 147 Grain Hornady ELD Match

Session #22 by @blurry_circles Shot 7/19/2026 Public

Rifle: Tikka 6.5 cm w Outlier 24" in MDT w R65k
Caliber: 6.5 Creedmoor
Bullet: 147 gr
Barrel: 24″
Twist: 1:7
Muzzle: Suppressed
Lot: —
Chronograph: Garmin Xero C1 Pro Chronograph
Avg velocity: 2630 fps
SD: 16 fps
ES: Not recorded
Shots: 20

Collective group

POA-aligned across 4 of 4 groups · 20 shots

Shot
Mean radius
Point of aim
Group centre
Probable flier

Mean radius

0.43 MOA

1.281″ at 300 yd

Group size: 7.872″; 2.62 MOA
ES / MR: 6.15×; flier probable (top 1%); About 3.66× expected for 20 shots
Shots: 20
Groups: 4 of 4

Probable flier · Group 8

One shot from Group 8 sits well outside the rest, circled on the plot. It sets the group size; mean radius is far less sensitive to a single shot.

Suggested re-zero

Group centre is 1.92″ (0.64 MOA) from the point of aim.

Elevation, dial UP

0.15 mil

0.54 MOA · 1.61″

Windage, dial RIGHT

0.10 mil

0.35 MOA · 1.04″

This is your zero, separate from precision: group size and mean radius don't change with it.

Within vs between strings

Within MR: 1.283″; 0.43 MOA
Between drift: 0.500″; 0.17 MOA
Ratio: 0.39×; consistent

Consistent — shot dispersion within each string dominates. Group centers land close together.

Hit probability Collective @ 300yd · 20 shots · MR 1.281″

Assumes shooter dispersion is the dominant error source and scales linearly with range. Doesn't model wind, MV SD, or BC uncertainty — those matter more as distance grows, so real-world hit rates at long range will typically be lower than shown.

Swipe the table sideways for larger targets →

Range	0.5 MOA	1 MOA	2 MOA	8"	10"	IPSC A
100 yd	24%	66%	99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
200 yd	24%	66%	99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
300 yd (measured)	24%	66%	99%	≥99%	≥99%	≥99%
400 yd	24%	66%	99%	99%	≥99%	97%
500 yd	24%	66%	99%	94%	99%	92%
600 yd	24%	66%	99%	85%	95%	85%
700 yd	24%	66%	99%	76%	89%	78%
800 yd	24%	66%	99%	66%	81%	70%
900 yd	24%	66%	99%	57%	74%	62%
1000 yd	24%	66%	99%	50%	66%	56%
1100 yd	24%	66%	99%	43%	59%	49%
1200 yd	24%	66%	99%	38%	53%	44%

Groups

Drawn targets share one scale: each grid square is 1 MOA, centred on that group's point of aim.

Show all

Group 1
100 yd· 5 sh

Size MOA

1.14

1.143″

MR MOA

0.42

0.424″

ES/MR

2.70×

5 shots
Group 2
100 yd· 5 sh

Size MOA

1.56

1.557″

MR MOA

0.53

0.532″

ES/MR

2.93×

5 shots
Group 3
100 yd· 5 sh

Size MOA

1.13

1.132″

MR MOA

0.39

0.388″

ES/MR

2.92×

5 shots
Group 4
100 yd· 5 sh

Size MOA

0.90

0.895″

MR MOA

0.31

0.308″

ES/MR

2.91×

5 shots
Group 5
300 yd· 5 sh

Size MOA

0.49

1.468″

MR MOA

0.19

0.557″

ES/MR

2.64×

5 shots
Group 6
300 yd· 5 sh

Flier likely

Size MOA

1.43

4.276″

MR MOA

0.38

1.137″

ES/MR

3.76×

5 shots
Group 7
300 yd· 5 sh

Size MOA

1.03

3.096″

MR MOA

0.40

1.213″

ES/MR

2.55×

5 shots
Group 8
300 yd· 5 sh

Collective flier

Size MOA

2.25

6.749″

MR MOA

0.74

2.223″

ES/MR

3.04×

5 shots